NFL Week 10 Picks

Nov 08, 2024

We’re officially at the halfway point of the NFL season: 9 weeks in the books, 9 weeks left to go. Seems like an appropriate time to look back at how we’ve done so far.

As a collective, we started off on absolute fire with 4 killer weeks. Over that span, we were up 33.79 units.

Then we went cold, with 3 pretty bad weeks. Down 25.62 units over that stretch. Other betting sites won’t tell you when they lose, but nobody wins all the time, so why try to hide it? All that matters is long term results.

The last two weeks we’ve pulled it back from the edge and been hovering right around .500. All told, that has us up 4.53 units for the year.

What will the second half of the season bring? Who knows? I personally feel like we’re about to roll off some quality weeks and I feel really good about our picks for this week. So let’s go to it:

CIN at BAL

Since we’re getting this article up later than usual, we made a separate post for our Thursday night plays. Let’s just say, I hope you missed it.

NYG at CAR

Al is laying Giants -5. Normally, Danny Dimes, laying points, on the road, is something I would run from screaming. But with Bryce Young under center for the Panthers, this is the rare opportunity where Jones will be the better QB

NE at CHI

CONSENSUS! Matt and I (Andy) are both going u38.5 here. If you don’t love doing under on low totals, you’re not living right

MIN at JAC

Al is laying points with another road favorite, Min -4.5. I would say that he likes to live dangerously, but he’s way better at this than I am, so definitely listen to him

DEN at KC

Matt is taking the points with the division, road dog (Den +8), which makes a ton of sense considering all of the close games that KC has played this year. So far, they’re not blowing people out with an explosive offense. Which is why I’m going with the u42.5

ATL at NO

CONSENSUS! NO +3.5. Matt and I have another agreement here. Derek Carr is back and we’re getting more than a FG at home? Yes please

SF at TB

This one would be way more fun without all the injuries, as both sides will be missing a lot of star power. When you factor that in, along with the travel for San Fran, I like TB +6.5 getting almost a TD

PIT at WAS

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. And betting Steelers unders is not broke. Matt is going u45.5

TEN at LAC

Matt continues his under trend here, but with a slight twist. This time he looks at the Titans TT u15.5, counting on the Charger’s elite defense to be able to shut down mayo-loving Will Levis.

NYJ at ARI

CONSENSUS! Al and I are both taking the Cardinals here, but we got them at pretty different numbers. He took ARI -1 and by the time I got to it, it had swung to ARI +1.5. That’s not actually as big of a swing as it may seem, since games so rarely land on zero. I like it either way, as Rodgers will have a really easy time finding a cactus to smoke in the desert. Which is another reason I’m also on the u46.5

PHI at DAL

Al is taking o42.5 here. Prescott won’t play, but are we sure Cooper Rush and/or Trey Lance aren’t upgrades at this point? I fully support this

DET at HOU

I imagine that Al is expecting a tough Detroit defense to shut down CJ Stroud, as his sophomore slump continues. u48.5

MIA at LAR

CONSENSUS! u50.5 and u50 I join Al on the under here, although it feels a little dangerous. Miami’s offense might be starting to click a little bit, and the defense has looked bad. I hate it, but I expect Tua and the Dolphin’s offense to take yet another step back under the Prime Time lights. That’s also why I’m taking LAR -1

Al

Season record: (44-36, +4.04u)

NYG -5, MIN -4.5, ARI -1, PHI/DAL o42.5, DET/HOU u48.5, MIA/LAR u50.5

Andy

Season record: (25-26, -3.25u)

NE/CHI u38.5, DEN/KC u42.5, NO +3.5, TB +6.5, ARI +1.5, NYJ/ARI u46.5, LAR -1, MIA/LAR u50

Chris

Season record: (4-3, +0.64u)

None.

Danny

Season record: (25-4, -1.25u)