13-9 last week and we’re back on schedule. That brings us to 131-111 on the season, good for 54% and +8.21u. Let’s get to the action.
I’d like to point out that there are a couple of great games this weekend that we don’t have any plays in. Sometimes that’s how it goes! Ravens at Steelers should be a good one, so maybe just enjoy watching that one without any money on it instead of focusing on hitting your Raiders under or seeing who covers in the Browns/Saints game. Just an idea.
We also somehow don’t have a play in the Chiefs/Bills game in the 4 o’clock window, which feels like a crime. I’ve got the Bills just slightly favored, so I won’t be betting them -2 here, but you might want to keep an eye on the live line and see if you can snag Buffalo +3 or more during the contest. Don’t sleep on KC’s defense though.
On to the plays:
WAS at PHI
CONSENSUS! It’s Thursday Night Football which means we took the under. Sorry we didn’t get this out to everyone early enough, but if it’s any consolation, I lost my play on the Commanders. WAS/PHI u49.5 was the consensus and Al was on WAS +4.
GB at CHI
I’m taking the Packers and the over here. The hope is that the Bears can find the endzone once or twice to contribute to the total. I think the Packers are a much better team at the moment. GB -5 and GB/CHI o40.5.
JAX at DET
I’ve tried really hard not to lean in on my Lions and bet them on the spread, and that has proven to be a very dumb thing. Maybe I’m not biased, they’re just really good. I’m sick of watching them cover without any skin in the game. I want in. DET -14.
LV at MIA
CONSENSUS! Andy and I are on the under here. He’s at LV/MIA u44 and I got it LV/MIA u44.5. I have this one capped at around 40 points so plenty of value here in my eyes.
LAR at NE
Andy’s rolling on another under here. LAR/NE u43.5. I like this one too, but I’m laying off.
CLE at NO
Matt’s taking the Brownies and I’m taking the Saints. May the better side win.
CLE +1 and NO -1.
MIN at TEN
Matt’s taking the Titans and I’m taking the Vikings. May the better side win.
TEN +6 and MIN -6. I hope this isn’t a trend…
ATL at DEN
Stop me in you’ve heard this one before: Andy’s on the under. ATL/DEN u44. That’s four straight unders to kick off the week for him.
CIN at LAC
CONSENSUS! All three of us with picks this week are on the under here: CIN/LAC u48. I see more than a FG of value here. I’m also laying the short spread with the Chargers at home, LAC -1.5.
IND at NYJ
CONSENSUS! And just like the last pick, all three of us are taking the road dog here: IND +4. Andy’s also (surprise surprise!) taking the u44.
Full slate of picks below:
Al
Season record: (48-42, +1.68u)
WAS +4 (L), WAS/PHI u49.5 (W), GB -5, GB/CHI o40.5, DET -14, LV/MIA u44.5, NO -1, MIN -6, LAC -1.5, CIN/LAC u48, IND +4
Andy
Season record: (33-28, +2.03u)
WAS/PHI u49.5 (W), LV/MIA u44, LAR/NE u43.5, ATL/DEN u44, CIN/LAC u48, IND +4, IND/NYJ u44
Chris
Season record: (4-3, +0.64u)
None.
Danny
Season record: (25-24-1, -1.25u)
None.
Matt
Season record: (21-14-1, +5.11u)
CLE +1, TEN +6, CIN/LAC u48, IND +4